What does “normal for the season” mean?

One summer can be hot, wet or cool. To describe typical conditions, meteorologists combine many years. WMO uses 30-year reference periods, such as 1961–1990 and 1991–2020. Current standard normals are updated every ten years to a more recent 30-year span.

A number needs its station and period

A climate normal describes a measurement series at a particular location. A meaningful comparison needs matching reference periods, variables and station environments. An airport and a densely built neighbourhood can experience different conditions.

An average is not a timetable

The number of hot days and the amount of precipitation can vary greatly between years. A long-term average describes the reference period; it does not set a quota for an individual year.

Comparisons need the same reference

“Two degrees warmer than normal” only becomes clear when the place, period and baseline are stated. Different climate normals can produce different reported anomalies. An average also does not describe the spread of values or individual extremes.

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